One of the basic statements for financial modeling is
the IF-THEN function in Excel. While this may not be considered as
robust as other approaches when doing actual computer programming (C++,
Java, VB), in Excel it is rather straightforward and ubiquitous.
There are a couple of things to remember when using the IF-THEN approach:
*
For basic results like "if this cell equals dog put a bone in the cell
next to it" or "if the cell on my right equals rain display an umbrella
sign in the cell below" or something like that. IF-THEN works well for
binary situations, and is a method that the basic financial modeler can
use and understand readily easily. The beauty of the function at its
most basic level is the simplicity.
* IF-THEN can also be used
for non-binary situations, meaning that one can "nest" several sub
IF-THEN statements within the cell. For example, let's assume that you
had four triggering events: apple, orange, grape and banana. Depending
upon the word that was in a cell, there would be one of four results.
This would look like:
=IF(A1="Apple","Watch for
worm",IF(A1="Orange","Citrus",IF(A1="Grape","Soon to be a
raisin",IF(A1="Banana","Don't slip on the peel","Do nothing")))).
You
will notice that the last bit of this text includes "do nothing", which
captures any text that is not one of the specified amounts you are
seeking. If there were only four options (that somehow the input cell
was blocked to prevent anything other than those four choices), the
code would look like this:
=IF(A1="Apple","Watch for worm",IF(A1="Orange","Citrus",IF(A1="Grape","Soon to be a raisin","Don't slip on the peel"))).
By
definition, only four choices will yield three IFs - think about the
fourth IF as silent to help you see why this is the case.
* The
financial modeler can also link IF-THEN statements to apply a
mathematical operator to two or more statements in the cell. Thus, you
could create a formula like
=IF(A1="Pie",1,0)+IF(B1="Soup",2,0)+IF(C1="Water",3,0). You can do this
with any operator and is useful if there are discrete components to the
model you are developing. As you ultimately get further into advanced
modeling, this can be used for triggers, or cells that create an influx
of additional information when turned to a true state. Further
discussion on that will occur as we move to intermediate level issues,
but just remember that there is flexibility in the IF-THEN statement
from this particular perspective.
* One shortcoming of the
IF-THEN statement usage is that you can only have up to seven nested
statements EVER in any function in Excel. For examples, the following
is a maxed out version of the IF-THEN statement:
=IF(C5=1,1,IF(C5=2,2,IF(C5=3,3,IF(C5=4,4,IF(C5=5,5,IF(C5=6,6,IF(C5=7,7,IF(C5=8,8,"No"))))))))
- if you try to add another nested IF statement, you will get an error
message. Part of the rationale behind that is because evaluating the
IF-THEN in the standard Excel environment (as well as computer language
in general) takes some time to evaluate. Granted, it is not a lot of
time when thinking about a machine calculating something faster than
us, but each of the evaluation steps requires computing speed and
memory. If you can imagine a nested 20-step IF-THEN statement in your
mind and pretend that you must evaluate that statement in order until
the last part of it, you will begin to see why there needs to be extra
time for the computer to do analyze it. Thus, seven is the cutoff
point, but in reality, you should never need that many nested IF-THEN
statements anyway.
In summary, the IF-THEN statement can be a
very useful, simple approach to binary and certain non-binary
situations. It is not perfect for larger database inquiries or very
large spreadsheets wherein the answer to the IF-THEN drives the model,
but it can suffice for everyday simple financial modeling applications,
and it easy to implement and interpret.
Russ
Steward has more than fifteen years of experience in investment banking
and private equity, and has developed hundreds of financial models and
analyses in Excel. For more information, please visit http://www.makefinancialmodels.blogspot.com